Home » Mortgage borrowers will be just fine when the economy slows LENDINGHOMEOWNERS Mortgage borrowers will be just fine when the economy slows
An economic slowdown has been widely forecasted, and this brings into question its inevitable impact on the housing market. But while a slowing economy typically causes a rise in mortgage delinquencies, Capital Economics predicts the impact will be minimal. In the next several months, home-price growth will continue to slow, with Capital Economics predicting it to grow by just 2% in 2019 and remain unchanged in 2020. But because of the market’s tight supply, values will remain strong, and this will incentivize homeowners to keep up with their mortgages. Further, while the slowdown will also affect the employment rate – with Capital Economics predicting it will rise from 3.6% to 4.7% in 2020 – this will not cause delinquencies to spike thanks to stricter lending standards, “which mean borrowers today are better placed to manage a short-term loss of income.” All things considered, the economists predict delinquencies will rise marginally, increasing from it...